ORIGINAL POST BEGINS HERE: As we ponder the life and works of Samuel P. Huntington, the author of The Clash of Civilizations and Who Are We?, it is sadly apt to come across this New Year's prediction in The Wall Street Journal. I suppose the good news is that this former Russian KGB officer turned Professor, Igor Panarin, is not predicting this will happen until 2010.
Mr. Panarin posits, in brief, that mass immigration, economic decline, and moral degradation will trigger a civil war next fall and the collapse of the dollar. Around the end of June 2010, or early July, he says, the U.S. will break into six pieces -- with Alaska reverting to Russian control.
Further down in the article we learn:
He based the forecast on classified data supplied to him by FAPSI analysts, he says. He predicts that economic, financial and demographic trends will provoke a political and social crisis in the U.S. When the going gets tough, he says, wealthier states will withhold funds from the federal government and effectively secede from the union. Social unrest up to and including a civil war will follow. The U.S. will then split along ethnic lines, and foreign powers will move in.
California will form the nucleus of what he calls "The Californian Republic," and will be part of China or under Chinese influence. Texas will be the heart of "The Texas Republic," a cluster of states that will go to Mexico or fall under Mexican influence. Washington, D.C., and New York will be part of an "Atlantic America" that may join the European Union. Canada will grab a group of Northern states Prof. Panarin calls "The Central North American Republic." Hawaii, he suggests, will be a protectorate of Japan or China, and Alaska will be subsumed into Russia.
"It would be reasonable for Russia to lay claim to Alaska; it was part of the Russian Empire for a long time." A framed satellite image of the Bering Strait that separates Alaska from Russia like a thread hangs from his office wall. "It's not there for no reason," he says with a sly grin.
Huntington told us that our nation's elites have deconstructed our national identity and fostered racial and ethnic separatism. The obvious result would be to destroy much of our will to persevere as a nation. Would Huntington have been surprised by Panarin's prediction? Perhaps only that Panarin sets the date so near in the future.
UPDATE: It occurs to me to add the map from The Nine Nations of North America. Joel Garreau thought that some of California, Arizona, and New Mexico goes with Mexico. It is surprising to see his Dixie going to Mexico in Panarin's analysis.
Hat Tip Titus One Nine