Following a recent spate of television and radio ads on behalf of a constitutional ban on same-sex marriage, a new poll suggests a rise in support for Proposition 8, the ballot measure that would block gay men and lesbians from marrying.
The new poll found that 47 percent expected to vote yes on Proposition 8, which would eliminate the right of same-sex couples to marry, while 42 percent expected to vote no. That is a notable difference from a SurveyUSA poll released Sept. 25 which found 44 percent planned to vote yes, while 49 percent planned to vote no — an apparent 10 point swing.
The San Jose Mercury News article concludes:
Surprisingly, the new poll showed some of the strongest support among younger voters, those aged 18 to 34, a group that has been consistently opposed to a same-sex marriage ban in polls by other organizations and in an earlier poll by SurveyUSA.
SurveyUSA noted, however, that the youngest voters "are the hardest to poll" and are "the most unpredictable voters."
(Actually, this youth vote result is consistent with the May LA Times poll results. We have frequently been told that as more and more of the young people vote, same sex marriage is inevitable because the younger generation has been "educated" to be far more supportive of it. However, for the LA Times poll in May, when asked if they supported same sex marriage, civil unions or neither, only the people 65 and older had a higher percent that said "Neither" than the 18-34 year olds. See here.)
The game changer ads: